Posters featuring Iran’s new leader Mojtaba Khamenei and former leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in a recent US-Israeli strike, have been displayed across the Iraqi capital Baghdad on March 22, 2026. [Murtadha Al-Sudani - Anadolu Agency]
If Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had died in his bed, from illness or old age, his death could have been more dangerous for the Iranian system than many people think. A natural death would have opened a sensitive moment inside the regime: Who replaces him? Can the elites agree? Will the succession process split the leadership? And will the opposition seize the moment and push the street toward larger protests? This scenario “an internal crisis after a natural death” was closer to what Iran’s opponents wanted. But here is the irony: what Trump and Netanyahu did by killing the Supreme Leader did not weaken the system the way they expected. It saved it from its hardest internal test.  A […]

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